既有建筑节能改造项目投资风险分类及其影响因素
(1.中国人民大学经济学院,北京 100872;2.天津城建大学经济与管理学院,天津 300384;3.天津城建大学生态宜居城市与可持续建设管理研究中心,天津 300384)
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摘要:分析既有建筑节能改造的投资风险,包括融资风险、节能量风险、运营风险等五大类。从项目运行的系统视角,投资风险因素即系统外部环境风险和系统内部风险,系统外部环境风险因素包括政策环境、经济环境和市场环境的风险;系统内部风险因素来自组织管理层面、项目层面和客户层面。关键词:既有建筑;节能改造;投资风险;风险因素Abstract:Firstly,the paper analyzes the investment risk of existing building energy saving transformation,such as financing quantity risk,energy saving quantity risk,operation risk,customer risk and external environment risk. Then,from the system perspective of the project operation,elaborates the factors that affect the investment risk of existing building energy saving transformation which are the external environment risk and the internal risk of the system,system external environment risk factors mainly includes policy environment,economic environment and market environment,and the internal risk factors mainly comes from organization management level,project level and customer level.Keywords:existing building;energy saving transformation;investment risk;risk factors参考文献[1] Osman Ayet,Ries Robert. Life-cycle impact analysis of energy systems for buildings[J]. Journal of Infrastructure Systems,2004,10(3):87-97.[2] 刘继仁,郭汉丁,崔斯文,等. 既有建筑节能改造市场发展机理研究综述[J].建筑经济,2014(9):81-85.[3] 尚天成,潘珍妮.现代企业合同能源管理项目风险研究[J].天津大学学报(社会科学版),2007(2):214-217.[4] 周鲜华,徐勃.合同能源管理项目中的收益风险研究[J].沈阳建筑大学学报(社会科学版),2010(1):57-60.[5] 王晛.基于有效单位能耗的合同能源管理激励机制设计[J]. 建筑经济,2014(12):97-101.[6] Vytautas Martinaitisa,Eduardas Kazakeviciusb,etal. A two-factor method for appraising building renovation and energy efficiency improvement projects [J].Energy Policy,2007(35):192-201.[7] 尚伶,郭汉丁,马兴能.既有建筑节能改造项目投资管理实践与理论研究综述[J].建筑节能,2012(8):62-66.[8] 陶凯,郭汉丁,王星,等.既有建筑节能改造项目风险共担策略研究[J].建筑经济,2015(12):79-82.工程经济,2016(11):76-80