“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施现状及市场机会研究
(华北电力大学经济与管理学院,北京 102206)
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摘要:以“一带一路”沿线国家为研究对象,根据世界银行发布的全球基础设施发展数据,从交通、取水、发电和通信等工程建设领域,利用标准分法对沿线国家基础设施发展现状进行定量评价,得出各国总体和分项得分,明晰“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施发展的不均衡情况。根据“一带一路”沿线国家基础设施发展水平、潜在空间和风险因素,应用波士顿矩阵将市场划分为明星、金牛、幼童和瘦狗等不同类型,进而分析我国工程投资和建设企业面临的市场机会,为企业选择适合的目标市场提供参考。关键词:一带一路;基础设施;建设项目;市场;评价Abstract:Taking the countries along the Belt and Road as the research objects,and based on the infrastructure development data published by the World Bank,this paper makes a quantitative evaluation on the infrastructure situation by using the standardized score method from the different construction fields,including transportation,water,power and communication,and gets the overall and sub items score. Then,analyzes the imbalance situations of the infrastructure development of the countries along the Belt and Road. With the application of Boston Matrix,classifies the markets of those countries into “star”,“cash cow”,“young child” and “dog” according to the infrastructure development levels,market potential and risk factors. Finally,identifies the market opportunities faced by Chinese investment and construction enterprises. The results provide a useful reference for Chinese enterprises to choose suitable overseas markets.Keywords:the Belt and Road;infrastructure;construction project;market;evaluation参考文献[1] 吴明立,陈建军,陈思远.浅诉一路一带战略下企业品牌走出去[J].品牌(下半月),2015(7):36.[2] 杜强,陈一秀,卫婧.2014年度国际市场最大250家承包商市场分析[J].建筑经济,2015(11):19-24.[3] 中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所.“一带一路”战略:互联互通共同发展——能源基础设施建设与亚太区域能源市场一体化[J].国际石油经济,2015(8):15-23.[4] Fujimura M,Adhikari R. Critical evaluation of cross-border infrastructure projects in Asia[J/OL]. SSRN Electronic Journal,2010(226):12.[5] 汪洁,全毅.21世纪海上丝绸之路贸易便利化研究[J].国际商务,2015(6):36-46.[6] 高武,洪开荣.重大基础设施项目风险评价研究综述[J].建筑经济,2015(2):111-115.建筑经济,2016(07):05-10