[摘　要]　当前全球性的经济危机具有以下特点：积累的矛盾多，释放的强度大，持续的时间长。基于积极的财政政策的4万亿投资计划是在有效需求不足、进出口贸易萎缩条件下的次优选择。经济增长主要依靠投资拉动的格局在短期内难以改变。SWOT态势分析表明，今后几年是我国建筑业转型的好时机。可能的切入点包括：全面推行绿色标准和节能改造；在保障性安居工程中加快工业化进程；在新农村建设中扮演引领者的角色，培养新的增长点；人力资源开发和产业结构调整。
[关键词]　经济波动；宏观调控；建筑业；转型
Abstract: The current global economic crisis is characterized by its large magnitude of accumulated contradictions, big strength of released energy and great length of sustained time. The proactive-fiscal-policy-based-4-trillion-Yuan fiscal stimulus package is a second-best choice under the circumstances where efficient demand is inadequate and international trade shrinking. It is difficult to change the China's growth model that is mainly dependent on the investment's pull in a short time. Based on a SWOT analysis, it is concluded that it is the period of the coming several years that is a right season of the Chinese building sector's transformation. There are several points where the transformation could get in gear: implementing standards of green building and energy-saving initiative in an all-around way; promoting industrialization in the development of affordable and low-rent houses; playing a leading role in cultivating new growth-points in the program of new-countryside construction; and developing human resource and adjusting the industrial structure.
Key words: fluctuation in economy; macro-adjustment; building sector; transformation
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