您现在的位置:建筑经济>>往期回顾>2008年>第12期>>文献要素
商业物业价格与租金关系研究-以香港为例
郑贤 庄焰
(1.香港理工大学建筑及房地产学系, 香港 ;2.深圳大学土木工程学院, 广东 深圳 518060)
文献要素
[摘 要] 通过对香港地区1979~2007年间商业物业价格与租金关系的定量研究指出,房价与租金存在长期均衡的协整关系。运用Granger因果检验法得出,商业物业市场仅存在房价对租金的单向因果关系,而租金对房价的影响并不显著,同时结合脉冲响应函数分析了房价与租金之间的动态关系。
[关键词] 商业物业,价格,租金,关系,协整
Abstract: This study carries out a quantitative investigation on the relationship between prices and rentals of the Hong Kong commercial property during 1979-2007. The result shows that there exists a long-run equilibrium and co-integration relationship between the commercial property prices and rentals. Based on the Granger-causality test, we also find out the unilateral causality relationship between prices and rentals, while no obvious impact of rentals on prices. In addition, the dynamic relationship between prices and rentals is analyzed by means of Impulse Response Function.
Key words: commercial property; price; rental; relationship; co-integration
[参考文献]
[1]Hendershott, Patric H., James D. Shilling. The economics of tenure choice, 1955-1979[C]// C.F. Sirmans (ed.), Research on Real Estate, JAI Press, 1982.
[2]Meese, Richard, Nancy Wallace. Testing the present value relation for housing prices: should I leave my house in San Francisco?[J]. Journal of Urban Economics, 1994, 35(3): 245-266.
[3]Joshua Gallin. The long-run relationship between house prices and rents[C]. Finance and Economics Discussion Series Divisions of Research & Statistics and Monetary Affairs, Federal Reserve Board, 2004.
[4]ZHENG Xian, ZHUANG Yan. The long-run relationship between house and rental prices: empirical study of Hong Kong[C]. Proceedings of 2008 International Conference on Construction and Real Estate Management,2008.
[5]Raymond Y. C,et al.Office property returns in Shanghai, Guangzhou,and Shenzhen[J].Journal of Real Estate Litera-ture,1999(7):197-208.
[6]周永宏.当前我国房价与租金关系的经济学分析——一个市场区隔理论的解释[J].当代财经,2005(10).
[7]李淑玲.基于房价收入比与售租比对我国房地产价格的分析[J].对外经济贸易大学学报,2007(5):40-43.
[8]Jones,J.D.,Joulfaian,D. Federal government expenditures and revenues in the early years of the American republic: evidence from 1792 to 1860[J].Journal of Macroeconomics,1991,13: 133 - 155.
[9]Carreras-i-Solanas,M,Mascarilla-i-Miro,O.,Yegorov,Y. The evolution and the relationship of house prices and rents in Barcelona,1970-2002[J].European Journal of Housing Policy,2004,4(1):19-56.
[10]谢程贤.香港房地产市场[M].太原:山西经济出版社,1993.
建筑经济,2008(12):51-54
下载地址

    你还没注册?或者没有登录?这篇论文要求至少是本站的注册会员才能阅读!

    如果你还没注册,请赶紧点此注册吧!

    如果你已经注册但还没登录,请赶紧点此登录吧!