住房需求结构的度量方法研究
(清华大学房地产研究所, 北京 100084)
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[摘 要] 住房供需结构错位是当前我国许多城市住房市场面临的主要问题,而针对该问题的分析、研究和调控决策都必须以对住房供需结构,特别是住房需求结构的准确把握为基础。对目前国内常用的两大类住房需求结构度量方法进行了归纳总结,并结合2006年成都市住房套型面积需求结构的研究实例,重点讨论了两类方法应用过程中可能出现的问题及解决途径,最后对其应用和改进思路提出建议。[关键词] 住房需求,需求结构,意愿调查法,显示性偏好法Abstract: The mismatch between housing demand and supply is the crucial issue in the real estate market of many China cities. Exact understanding of the housing demand-supply patterns and particularly the demand patterns is the basis to perform analysis, study and regulation decision-making on such an issue. The paper summarizes two major methods to measure housing demand patterns. The paper then concentrates the discussion on the problems and the solutions in adopting the above measurement methods by analyzing the size and area demand patterns of Chengdu housing market in 2006. Finally the paper makes some suggestions for application and improvement of the two methods.Key words: housing demand; demand pattern; contingent valuation method; revealed preference method[参考文献][1]刘洪玉,郑思齐. 城市与房地产经济学 [M]. 北京:中国建筑工业出版社,2007.[2]Smith, V K. Pricing what is priceless: a status report on non-market valuation of environmental resources[A]//H Folmer, T Tietenberg eds. International yearbook of environmental and resource economics: 1997/1998[C]. Cheltenham: Elgar, 1997.[3]Babbie, E R. The practice of social research[M]. Belmont, CA: Thomson Wadsworth, 2007.[4]刘洪玉. 中国住房市场的现状和未来发展 [J]. 建筑经济,2007(7).建筑经济,2008(12):47-50