房地产财富效应对其消费及投资的影响分析
(中央财经大学管理科学与工程学院, 北京 100081)
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[摘 要] 分析了房地产财富效应对其自身消费和投资的影响。房地产业统计数据的实证结果表明,房地产财富效应对其自身消费和投资都具有正的影响作用,并且对消费的作用大于对投资的影响作用。房价上涨助推了房地产消费,这说明我国房地产业的消费以投资消费为主,政府应从抑制投资消费需求和增加保障房供给两方面加强宏观调控。[关键词] 房地产;财富效应;消费;投资;影响Abstract: This paper analyzes the wealth effect of real estate on their own consumptions and investments. The empirical results of real estate statistics show that wealth effect has a positive impact on their own consumptions and investments, and the impact on consumption is more than on investment. The rising prices of real estate boost consumption. This shows that consumption in China real estate market is based on investment. Government should restrain consumers' investment demand and increase housing supply to strengthen macro-control.Key words: real estate; wealth effect; consumption; investment; effect[参考文献][1]江河.房地产财富效应对社会财富分配的影响分析[J].特区经济,2010(1):276-278.[2]Engel Hardtv. House price and home owner saving behavior[J].Regional Science and Urban Economies,1996(41): 313-336.[3]Case E, Quigleym, Shiller J. Comparing wealth effects: the stock market versus the housing market[R].University of California,2003:99-107.[4]Alexander Ludwig, A.and T.Sl?覫k. The Impact of changes in stock prices and house prices on consumption in OECD countries[Z].IMF Working Papers,2002,WP/02/1.[5]Boone,L.,N.Girouard. The stock market, the housing market an consumer behaviour[Z].OECD,Economics Department,Working Papers,35.[6]李玉山,李晓嘉.对中国居民消费的财富效应计量分析[J].山西财经大学学报,2006(2):39-43.[7]刘建江,杨玉娟.从消费函数理论看房地产财富效应的作用机制[J].消费经济,2005(2):93-96.[8]魏锋.中国股票市场和房地产市场的财富效应[J].重庆大学学报(自然科学版),2007(2):153-157.[9]陈淑云,王志彬.中国股票市场与房地产市场财富效应比较:1998-2007[J].华中师范大学学报,2008(5):57-63.[10]赵进文,高辉.资产价格波动对中国货币政策的影响[J].中国社会科学,2009(2):98-114.建筑经济,2010(11):105-108