大型集群式工程项目的WBS-RBS风险识别方法及其应用
(华北电力大学, 北京 102206)
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[摘 要] 简述了大型集群式工程项目的风险与风险群概念,对WBS-RBS的组合矩阵风险分析模型做了介绍。以广州亚运海心沙工程项目为例,描述了使用该模型构建起大型集群工程项目风险分析矩阵的方法。并结合实际使用效果,对WBS-RBS风险分析模式做出评价。[关键词] WBS-RBS矩阵,风险识别,风险耦合,海心沙项目Abstract: Sketches the concepts of risk and risk group of large construction project, describes the risk analysis model of WBS-RBS combined matrix. Taking the Haixinsha project for Guangzhou Asia Game as a case, describes the method to establish a risk analysis matrix for large group construction project by this model, and evaluates the model according to the practical application effect.Key words: WBS-RBS matrix; risk identification; risk coupling; Haixinsha Island project[参考文献][1]侯学良.广州亚运海心沙工程项目管理方法的理论创新与实践[J].建筑经济,2011(6):14-17.[2]Hou Xueliang, Chen Wenjun. Analysis of distribution rule of morbidity phenomena in construction project in China[J]. MACE2010:1472-1475.[3]Carlo Rafele,David Hillson,Sabrina Grimald. Understanding project risk exposure using the two-dimensional risk breakdown matrix[C]. 2005 PMI Global Congress Proceedings. Netown Square: PMI,2005.[4]沈建明.项目风险管理[M].北京:机械工业出版社,2004.建筑经济,2011(8):31-33