[摘　要]　基于农民工的住房消费特征，采用计量经济分析，测算农民工的住房边际消费倾向及收入不确定性对住房消费的影响，分析农民工住房供给存在结构性失衡的原因，提出改善农民工住房供给状况的政策建议。结果表明，农民工的住房消费较城镇居民或农村居民更趋保守和谨慎，且收入不确定性对农民工住房消费的影响较大，农民工收入的增加对住房消费增长的刺激作用远小于对其他消费的刺激作用。因此，政府在制定农民工住房供给计划时应充分考虑到农民工的消费特征，采取多种综合措施，联合社会力量，多层面、多方位地实现农民工住房的有效供给。

[关键词]　农民工,住房供给,消费特征

Abstract: Based on housing consumption characteristics of migrant workers, the paper estimates the trend of marginal propensity to housing consumption of migrant workers and the impact of income uncertainty on housing consumption, analyzes the reasons why there is structural imbalance in the housing supply for migrant workers, and gives policy recommendations for improving the housing supply situation. The results show that migrant workers are more conservative and cautious in housing consumption than urban and rural residents; uncertainty of income has a great impact on housing consumption of migrant workers; and stimulus of increasing income on housing consumption is far less than that on other consumption. Therefore, in the formation process of housing supply plans for migrant workers, government should take into account migrant workers' consumption characteristics, adopt comprehensive measures, and join forces with society to achieve multi-level and multi-faceted target in the effective housing supply for migrant workers.

Key words: migrant workers; housing supply; consumption characteristics

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建筑经济，2011（3）：85-88