装配式钢结构建筑出海“一带一路”国家的成本比较优势研究
(1.杭州肯励建筑数据科技有限公司,浙江 杭州 311121;2.杭州铁木辛柯工程设计有限公司,浙江 杭州 311200;3.浙江省钢结构行业协会,浙江 杭州 310028)
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摘要:伴随着 “一带一路” 倡议的推进,装配式钢结构建筑因其在绿色、高效、可持续方面的独特优势在沿线国家应用日益广泛。本文从设计、生产、运输、安装四个方面,对比构建了国产装配式钢结构建筑出口新西兰、新西兰当地采购生产以及当地混凝土现浇三种方案的成本计算模型,并结合案例对比计算了三种方案的成本,最后基于灰色关联度分析进行了复核计算,以期为我国装配式钢结构建筑拓展 “一带一路” 市场提供依据与实践参考。关键词:装配式钢结构建筑;经济性分析;成本计算模型;灰色关联分析Abstract:With the advancement of the "Belt and Road" initiative,prefabricated steel structure buildings have seen increasingly widespread application in the countries along the route,owing to their unique advantages in terms of greenness,efficiency,and sustainability. This paper constructs a cost calculation model for three scenarios:exporting Chinese-made prefabricated steel structure buildings to New Zealand,local procurement and production in New Zealand,and local cast-in-place concrete construction. The comparison is conducted from four aspects:design,production,transportation,and installation. Furthermore,the costs of the three scenarios are calculated and compared based on a case study. Finally,a review calculation is performed using grey relational analysis,aiming to provide a basis and practical reference for the expansion of China's prefabricated steel structure buildings in the "Belt and Road" market.Keywords:prefabricated steel structure buildings;economic analysis;cost-benefit analysis method;grey relational analysis参考文献[1] Zhou,J.,Tam,V.W.,Qin,Y.,etal. A critical review and comparative analysis of cost management on prefabricated construction research(2000-2022)[J]. International Journal of Construction Management,2024(9):997-1006.[2] Elhag T,Boussabaine A,Ballal T. Critical determinants of construction tendering costs:quantity surveyors' standpoint[J]. Int J Project Manage,2005(7):538-545.[3] Chen W,Chen A,Liu J,etal. Research on production cost optimization of PC exterior wall panel based on hybrid genetic algorithm[M]//ICCREM 2021. 2021:687-693.[4] 闫红缨.预制装配式体系安装成本的比较分析[J].住宅产业,2012(7):36-38.[5] 宋禹璇,朱记伟,银克俭,等.EPC模式下装配式安装成本增量影响因素研究[J].建筑经济,2023(12):54-59.建筑经济,2025(3):22-29