建设项目投资策划与决策方法论-可行性研究的反思
(北京交通大学, 北京 100044)
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[摘 要] 提出了以多维柔性价值观为核心的投资策划与决策方法论,将建设项目前期分为投资策划和投资决策两个阶段,并将行为科学理论和实践引入建设项目前期全程,从而在传统理性最优化的基础上构建有限理性满意原则,提高建设项目投资策划和决策的可操作性。[关键词] 可行性研究,建设项目,投资策划,投资决策,方法论Abstract: This paper proposes a systematic methodology of investment planning and decision-making based on multidimensional flexible values, disposes the pre-construction into two stages by investment planning and decision-making,and introduces the behavioral theory and practice into pre-construction,thereby the bounded rationality satisfaction rule is built on the basis of traditional rational optimality to enhance the operability.Key words: feasibility study; construction project; investment planning; investment decision-making; methodology[参考文献][1]傅鸿源,张仕廉.投资决策与项目策划——方法·实务·探索[M].北京:科学出版社,2001.[2]张敏莉.房地产项目策划[M].北京:人民交通出版社,2007.[3]郑宗松.最适投资决策之研究[D].台湾:国立政治大学,2003.[4]王立国,刘海燕.我国公共项目投资决策模型研究[J].学习与探索,2007(1).[5]约翰·S.哈蒙德,霍华德·莱福.决策的艺术[M].孙涤,郑荣清,译.上海:上海人民出版社,2003.[6]Ian Ellingham, William Fawcett. New generation whole-life costing——property and construction decision-making under uncertainty[M].Routledge, 2005.[7]Henri L,Beenhakker. Investment decision making in the private and public sectors[M].Westport, Conn. Quorum Books,1996.[8]Richard Butler, Leslie Davies, Richard Pike, John Sharp.Strategic investment decisions:theory,practice and process[M].London,New York :Routledge,1993.[9]中华人民共和国统计局.中国固定资产投资统计年鉴[M].北京:中国统计出版社,2002.[10]中华人民共和国审计署办公厅.部分城市基础设施国债项目建设效果的审计结果(2004年第3号)[EB/OL].[2009-10-10]http://www.audit.gov.cn/cysite/docpage/c516/200407/0730_516_10056.htm.建筑经济,2010(2):64-67