摘要：核电工程招标控制价依据的基础资料有限，发布招标控制价存在一定的风险，可采用蒙特卡洛模拟进行招标控制价的风险分析。介绍了蒙特卡洛法的原理和步骤，并以核电项目直观地演示了蒙特卡洛法在招标控制价风险分析中的应用。

关键词：蒙特卡洛模拟；招标控制价；风险分析

Abstract：Because of finite basic information on the bidding control price for nuclear power projects，there are several risks in issuing tender control price. Monte Carlo simulation can be used for risk analysis of bid control price. This paper introduces the principle and steps of Monte Carlo method，and demonstrates its application in risk analysis of bidding control price intuitively with actual nuclear power project.

Keywords：Monte Carlo simulation；bidding control price；risk analysis

工程经济，2019（8）：17-19