城镇居民收入差距对住房价格的影响—基于38个大中城市的动态面板模型
(上海杉达学院管理学院,上海 201209)
- 文献要素
-
摘要:兼顾住房的消费和投资双重属性,采用供求分析框架,从理论上探究城镇居民收入差距拉大对住房价格的作用机制。在此基础上,运用2001~2015年间我国38个大中城市面板数据,构建动态面板数据模型进行实证检验。结果表明:当房价上涨预期的情况下,居民收入差距拉大能促进房价上涨,且随着房价上涨预期增强,这种促进作用越强。据此,提出引导市场预期等促进住房市场健康稳定发展的对策建议。关键词:住房价格;居民收入差距;房价上涨预期;住房供求Abstract:This paper consideres the double properties of the housing consumption and housing investment,uses the analysis framework of supply and demand,and explores the mechanism of the urban residents’ income gap impacts the housing price. On this basis,uses the data of 38 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2001 to 2015 to construct the dynamic panel data model for empirical test. The results show that when house prices were expected to rise,the widening income gap can boost housing prices,and the promoting effect strengthens with the expectation of rising house prices increase. On the basis,puts forwards suggestions such as guiding market expectations and so on to promote housing market to develop healthily and stably.Keywords:housing price;residents’ income gap;expectation of rising housing price;housing supply and demand参考文献[1] Christian Gollier. Wealth inequality and asset pricing[J]. The Review of Economic Studies,2001(1):181-203.[2] J.Gyourko,Cmayer,T Sinai. Superstar cities[J]. American Economic Journal Economic Policy,2013,5(4):167-199.[3] KA Kholodilin,D Ulbricht.Urban House Prices:A Tale of 48 Cities[J].Economics Discussion Papers,2015-13.[4] M??tt?nen,M Tervi?. Income distribution and housing prices:An assignment model approach[J].Journal of Economic Theory,2014(1):381-410.[5] 胡晓.收入差距与中国房地产价格:理论与实证——兼论当前房地产调控的有效性[J].财经科学,2010(12):83-90.[6] 徐舒,陈珣.收入差距会推高住房价格吗?[J].经济学(季刊),2016(2):549-570.[7] 高波,王文莉,李祥.预期、收入差距与中国城市房价租金“剪刀差”之谜[J].经济研究,2013(6):100-112+126.[8] 尹虹潘.市民收入不均与城市住宅价格空间分布——理论模型与数值模拟[J].财经研究,2011(6):103-111.[9] 陈慧慧.收入差距对商品房政策调控效果的影响——基于主体建模的分析[J].当代财经,2015(12):14-23.[10] 李仲飞,于守金,郑军.房地产属性、收入差距与房价变动趋势[J].财经研究,2016(7):122-133.建筑经济,2018(12):75-80