农民工化解住宅房地产库存的系统动力学仿真分析—以河南省为例
(中原工学院,河南 郑州 450007)
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摘要:基于政府提出靠农民工化解住宅房地产市场库存的政策,以河南省2005~2014年相关数据为基础,运用Vensim PLE仿真软件构建模型,模拟农民工在化解住宅房地产库存中所起的作用并进行分析,为化解河南省住宅房地产库存提供具有参考价值的建议。关键词:农民工;房地产库存;系统动力学;仿真分析Abstract:In view of the government putting forward the policy by migrant workers to resolve the residential real estate market inventory,taking the related data of Henan province from 2005 to 2014 as the basis,this paper constructs the model using Vensim PLE simulation software,simulates and analyzes the role of migrant workers in resolving residential real estate inventories,provides some suggestions with referencing values to resolve the Henan residential real estate inventory.Keywords:migrant workers;real estate inventory;system dynamics;simulation analysis参考文献[1] 易宪容.中国房地产去库存化的困境刚刚开始[J].大众理财顾问,2016(1).[2] 卞文志.房地产去库存成为“国家任务”[J].上海房地,2016(2).[3] 张齐武.新常态下促进房地产行业健康发展的策略研究[J].建筑经济,2015(5).[4] 胡祖铨.我国房地产去库存研究[J].宏观经济管理,2016(4).工程经济,2017(02):53-57